Hello **Project Hope** community, here I am again with a topic I could say that a little thoughtful about the world of cryptocurrency, especially trading. I have commented on other opportunities, my first contact with this world of Blockchain was almost ***4 years ago***, when I was interested in trading cryptocurrencies, the truth is that I started and I did not do well, I did not have much knowledge of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, the truth is that I was totally lost in these issues, however I started, and obviously, it was almost impossible for me to do well, unless the great luck was on my side. # Well, at that time of beginnings I told myself that there was a lot of luck in this trading, I came to think that it was a kind of bet, and that winning would depend on whether **"I was right in my bet if the price went down or up"**. But, little by little I was learning some things and I realized that I was very wrong in thinking that way, there are those who have very good analysis and have a high rate of effectiveness in their operations. ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNdDTF4bFyN5yhLT1QpVcwik1ZSKLNG6BrwswWe6MMasx/image.png) _{[Source](https://pixabay.com/es/photos/empresario-ocurrencia-competencia-1340649/)}

However, it is impossible that we can be winners in all operations, the market seems to have life and makes its movements, some we can predict them from the analysis but others simply not, **it is not easy**, especially because there are many factors that can make prices move in certain directions, many that we can not even imagine, some fundamental news, for example. In view of this reality, even when I trade and I can say that I have not done badly in this aspect, there is still some of that thought in me that makes me ask the question: *What role does luck play in all this trading?*. # I do an analysis that in theory allows me to have a good degree of effectiveness, if the technique works for you, you should not change it unless it is to improve it, however, there are times when indicators, market studies, volume, everything comes together in the fact that a price will go down or up and will allow you to get a good profit margin, and yet something happens that breaks your forecasts. ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmecikRVw5hDxEEUz7jVH2DrVfnbE7EQFo3MpvpgUJ9JUc/image.png) _{[Source](https://pixabay.com/es/photos/dado-juego-monocromo-1502706/)}

That's why I say, those fortuitous events that make a price collapse and go totally against everything that a technical analysis tells you, I think they are part of what I could say luck *(good or bad)* became present. I know that this trading really is something that you could say is financial or mathematical, however, ***it is not something exact***, considering the different factors that we contemplate and the others that we can not even know that will affect, it is almost impossible to say that luck has nothing to do in this profession, or maybe it does. # #### I would like to know what you think about it. Greetings. ### Thank you very much for reading my post.

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